TA: Why Ethereum Close Above $1,300 Could Spark A Fresh Surge

Ethereum is holding the $1,240 and $1,220 support levels against the US Dollar. ETH price seems to be eyeing a fresh surge above the $1,300 and $1,320 resistance levels in the near term.

• Ethereum retested the $1,200 support zone, where the bulls took a stand.
• The price is now recovering towards the $1,300 resistance and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,300 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
• The pair could start a strong increase if there is a clear close above $1,300 and the 100 hourly SMA.

Ethereum Price is Likely To Rally

There was a downside extension in Ethereum below the $1,250 support level. ETH price even traded below the $1,220 support level and settled below the 100 hourly simple moving average.

However, the bulls were able to protect the main $1,200 support zone. A low is formed near $1,204 and the price is currently recovering higher. There was a break above the $1,240 and $1,250 resistance levels. The bulls also pushed the price above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $1,375 high to $1,204 low.

Ether is now facing resistance near the $1,290 and $1,300 levels. The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $1,375 high to $1,204 low is also near $1,289.

Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The main resistance is near $1,300. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,300 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. If ether price clears the trend line resistance, $1,300, and the 100 hourly SMA, there are chances of a fresh surge.

The next major resistance could be $1,375. A close above the $1,375 level could open the doors for a steady increase in the coming sessions towards $1,450.

Upside Break in ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the trend line resistance, $1,300, and the 100 hourly SMA, there are chances of another bearish reaction.

An initial support on the downside is near the $1,240 level. The main support is forming near the $1,200 level. If ether breaks the $1,200 support, there is a risk of a drop towards the $1,120 level.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is slowly gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is currently just above the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $1,240

Major Resistance Level – $1,300