Aster (ASTER) price struggled near the $1.39 mark on Oct. 14 after sliding more than 4% in the session. The token’s daily chart showed a failed attempt to reclaim the short-term moving averages, keeping bears in control after last week’s volatile rebound.
The RSI hovered near neutral territory, suggesting uncertainty among traders. Meanwhile, analysts, including Marcel and Momin, discussed potential upside targets. However, their projections remained largely speculative and driven by sentiment rather than data.
Analysts’ Bold Calls on Aster Clash With Market Reality
Analysts’ projections for Aster followed the recent consolidation phase that kept traders divided over the token’s short-term trajectory. CryptoCosta projected a potential rise toward the $4–$5 range within weeks, calling it the start of Aster’s “legendary pump.”
Costa’s post assigned arbitrary probabilities to short-term retracements, but price data failed to show momentum consistent with such an aggressive timeline. The token traded below its key moving average, hinting at resistance around the $1.6 zone instead.
Meanwhile, Sarah Milady framed Aster’s earlier 10x rally as proof of its strength and suggested that early participants turned “millionaires.”
The claim underscored the sentiment-driven nature of current Aster discussions, where narrative and memory of prior surges continued to influence positioning. The absence of new catalysts, however, made the bullish comparisons tenuous.
Momin’s chart-driven post offered a more straightforward technical setup. The analyst identified a support confluence between $1.25 and $1.3, calling the move a leverage shakeout before a leg higher.
Momin’s Fibonacci projections extended toward the $2.4 level, forming a path that relied on a sustained reclaim above $1.5. The MACD readings around that time stayed neutral, suggesting traders awaited confirmation before taking fresh long positions.
Marcell, in contrast, interpreted the airdrop event as a turning point, labeling it an “airdrop pump” after the ASTER USD pair rebounded from $1.36 to near $1.49.
The traders exaggerated the $40 remark, amplifying the euphoria appearing late in momentum cycles. While the intraday rise reflected short covering, the daily structure pointed to mild recovery rather than breakout strength. Overall, Aster’s market sentiment remained speculative, held up more by influencer conviction than by confirmed technical reversal.
Airdrop Announcement Adds Temporary Volatility
The airdrop narrative intensified as Aster’s Stage 2 claim went live on Oct. 14, fueling mixed reactions across the market. Thund3rTron announced that 320 million Aster tokens would be distributed to community members participating in the project’s previous phase.
The claim window, set to close on Oct. 15, triggered a wave of short-term speculation around liquidity rotation and trading fee refunds.
Momin called it a likely turning point, arguing that the distribution phase would reset market positions after the earlier leverage flush-out. His remarks aligned with the uptick in trading activity seen before the claim deadline. However, broader chart readings showed Aster price consolidating below the 20-day EMA, suggesting that enthusiasm had not yet translated into sustained buying pressure.
The airdrop’s impact remained contained within intraday volatility, with the daily structure pointing to indecision rather than breakout intent. While influencer commentary kept attention high, the underlying technical landscape showed Aster still dependent on external catalysts to maintain momentum.
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