XDC is down 2.6% from a day ago, trading around $0.062, following the broader crypto market downturn triggered by fresh ETF outflows, a stronger U.S. dollar, higher real yields, and more than $320 million in liquidations across major exchanges. As traders move away from speculative assets, XDC is under renewed pressure. But can it still reach $1 by the end of 2025? Let’s analyse.
Today on Oct. 21, Bitcoin fell below $108,000, dragging Ethereum, Solana, and XRP lower. Altcoins, including XDC, are particularly exposed when sentiment turns risk-off. Institutional investors have been trimming positions in risk assets amid global uncertainty, while ETF data shows continued capital outflows from digital asset funds.
For XDC, this environment has amplified short-term weakness even as its long-term fundamentals remain largely intact.
XDC Still Below Key Averages
The daily XDC to USD price chart shows the token locked in a descending channel since mid-2025. After peaking near $0.13 in July, XDC has steadily declined to the $0.062 range, breaking below all major moving averages.
This alignment confirms that sellers remain in control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 37 indicates weak momentum but not full capitulation. Immediate support lies at $0.055–$0.060, while resistance stands near $0.075–$0.090.
If the price breaks above $0.075 and holds, a short-term reversal could form. But a daily close below $0.055 would expose XDC to the $0.048 zone, last visited in 2024.
What $1 Would Mean for XDC?
For XDC price to reach $1, the token would need to rally roughly 1,500% from its current price.
That would lift its market capitalization to around $18 billion, placing it among the top 20 global cryptocurrencies.
Such an achievement would require more than speculation — it would demand a powerful combination of institutional inflows, real-world adoption, and a full-scale crypto bull cycle.
Technically, no such setup is visible yet. The chart points to consolidation and gradual rebuilding rather than a sudden breakout.
Despite bearish charts, XDC’s core fundamentals remain stronger than most mid-cap projects.
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Real-World Asset Tokenization: In July 2025, Brazil’s VERT Capital announced plans to tokenize $1 billion worth of corporate debt and receivables on XDC Network— one of the largest tokenization initiatives on a public blockchain.
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Stablecoin Integration: Circle launched USDC and Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP V2) on the XDC Network in September 2025, expanding regulated stablecoin liquidity across 15 blockchains.
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Network Upgrade: The XDC 2.0 upgrade increased speed, improved security, and introduced a fee-burn mechanism, reducing total supply over time.
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Institutional Accessibility: XDC’s regulatory alignment with MiCA and listings on KuCoin, Kraken, eToro, and Binance.US have improved accessibility for traditional investors.
Short-Term and Long-Term Outlook
From a technical perspective, XDC remains under pressure. The descending channel and weak RSI signal that the token may trade sideways between $0.055 and $0.075 in the near term. A breakout above $0.075 could target $0.09–$0.10, but without renewed volume, it may not sustain.
For the rest of 2025, a gradual recovery toward $0.18–$0.35 appears realistic if macro conditions stabilize and enterprise adoption grows. A jump to $1 by year-end, however, would require extraordinary momentum — something the current chart and liquidity environment do not support.
