Cardano (ADA) triangle setup forecasts nearly 50% drop in prices

Anshuman Roy
By Anshuman Roy 3 Min Read
Cardano's native token faces correction risks.
Cardano’s native token faces correction risks. Image from freepik and pngtree

NEW DELHI (CoinChapter.com) — Blockchain platform Cardano’s native token ADA prices have formed a bearish technical setup, called the descending triangle pattern, that might push the token’s prices to levels last seen in early Jan 2021.

In detail, a descending trendline connecting swing highs and a horizontal trendline joining swing lows form the pattern. The height of the triangle’s thickest section determines the price target in a descending triangle setup.

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ADA prices have formed a descending triangle pattern with a nearly -50% price target.
ADA prices have formed a descending triangle pattern with a nearly -50% price target. Source: Tradingview.com

Per the rules of technical analysis, ADA prices might fall to $0.26, a drop of 48% from current levels.

Cardano founded Charles Hoskinson shared a cryptic tweet on Sept 10 indicating that he was working on “something cool” in Papua New Guinea. A project might add some tailwinds to ADA’s price action and help the altcoin invalidate the bearish setup.

Also Read: Cardano (ADA) Goes Skyward After September Vasil Hard Fork Confirmed.

The Cardano token recently registered a rally that saw prices jump 15.4% between Sept 7’s low ($0.45) and Sept 10’s high ($0.52) levels. The bull run fizzled out over the weekend. But, the long tails on the daily candles indicate bulls and bears are vying for control of ADA price action.

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ADA Prices See A “Golden” Lining

Meanwhile, ADA’s 20-day exponential moving average (20-day EMA, red wave) might move above the token’s 50-day EMA (purple wave) to form a bullish pattern called the Golden cross. Traders usually consider the pattern a buy signal.

Completing the pattern might instigate a rally that would likely see the ADAUSD pair conquer resistance from its 100-day EMA (blue wave) near $0.53. Moving above the 100-day EMA resistance would help propel the Cardano token to resistance near $0.57.

ADAUSD daily chart with RSI and a potential golden cross.
ADAUSD daily chart with RSI and a potential golden cross. Source: Tradingview.com

Worth noting is that ADA prices have been moving between $0.58 and $0.43 since Jun 12. It is likely that the upper trendline of the channel would rebuff further uptrend.

Conversely, if the downtrend continues, ADA prices might fall to support near $0.49, near the support confluence of 20-day EMA (red wave) and 50-day EMA (purple wave). Marketwide sell-off could see the Cardano token break below immediate support to test support near $0.46 before recovering.

The relative strength index for ADA remains neutral, clocking 55.87 on the daily charts, with the RSI trendline moving laterally.

At writing, ADAUSD was trading at $0.5, down 0.8% on the day.

CoinChapter previously highlighted a key juncture for Cardano

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Anshuman Roy

Anshuman Roy is a Senior Crypto Markets Analyst with over 1,500 published articles across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader digital asset space. With a background in Electronics and Telecommunication Engineering and an NISM-certified foundation in technical analysis, he brings a sharp focus to price structure, market cycles, and institutional flows. His reporting covers Bitcoin ETFs, Ethereum’s scaling roadmap, and token treasury strategies. Roy holds Bitcoin, Ethereum, Shiba Inu, and Litecoin.

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