Chainlink Breakout Imminent? Rising Wedge, RSI, and MACD Point to 19% Surge

Tatevik Avetisyan
By Tatevik Avetisyan 6 Min Read
Chainlink Breakout Imminent Rising Wedge, RSI, and MACD Point to 19% Surge

On July 18, 2025, a new 4-hour chart of Chainlink (LINK/USDT) created on TradingView shows a clearly defined rising wedge pattern. The price is trading at $17.14 on Coinbase and has climbed steadily within two converging trendlines marked in red.

Chainlink Rising Wedge Signals 19% UpsideSource: TradingView.com
Chainlink Rising Wedge Signals 19% Upside. Source: TradingView.com

A rising wedge pattern is a technical structure where the price forms higher highs and higher lows, but the range tightens over time. Typically, this pattern suggests a potential reversal or breakout once the price exits the wedge. However, in some cases—especially during strong uptrends—it can signal a bullish continuation if the breakout occurs upward.

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In this instance, the breakout arrow points to a projected target of $20.38, representing a 19% potential gain from the current price level. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), shown at $15.58, continues to offer dynamic support.

The chart also shows a volume spike on July 18, suggesting strong buying interest as LINK approaches the upper wedge boundary.

If the breakout holds, Chainlink could reach the projected $20.38 target in the near term.

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On July 18, 2025, a fresh 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) chart for Chainlink (LINK/USD) on TradingView shows the RSI line climbing to 68.90, just below the 70 overbought threshold. The RSI is paired with a smoothing average currently positioned at 63.12.

Chainlink RSI Approaches OverboughtSource: TradingView.com
Chainlink RSI Approaches Overbought. Source: TradingView.com

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100. Readings above 70 typically suggest overbought conditions, while levels below 30 indicate oversold markets.

As of now, LINK’s RSI has approached the overbought zone, suggesting that bullish momentum is strong but possibly nearing exhaustion. However, in uptrending markets, the RSI can stay above 70 for extended periods without triggering an immediate pullback.

The yellow moving average line crossing below the RSI line reinforces ongoing buying strength. If RSI breaks above 70, it may confirm continued price acceleration, possibly aligning with the rising wedge breakout chart shown earlier.

This momentum data supports the short-term bullish case for LINK, which could help push the price closer to the $20.38 projected target.

 A new 4-hour Balance of Power (BOP) chart for Chainlink (LINK/USD) shows the indicator at –0.04, slightly below the neutral zero line. This reading suggests a minor shift toward seller dominance.

Chainlink BOP Shows Neutral MomentumSource: TradingView.com
Chainlink BOP Shows Neutral Momentum. Source: TradingView.com

The Balance of Power indicator measures the strength of buyers versus sellers in a given period. Values above 0 indicate that buyers are in control, while negative values point to selling pressure.

Currently, BOP hovers near the midpoint, showing that neither bulls nor bears have firm control. However, the small negative tilt reflects slight profit-taking or a temporary pause in bullish momentum. The frequent swings on the chart also confirm volatile intraday sentiment over the past two weeks.

Despite this mild bearish reading, the absence of sharp downward spikes implies no major reversal yet. When paired with the rising wedge breakout and the strong Relative Strength Index (RSI), the BOP still leaves room for continued upside—if buyers regain control soon.

The 4-hour Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) chart for Chainlink (LINK/USD) on TradingView shows a clear bullish crossover. The MACD line (blue) is at 0.430, while the signal line (orange) stands at 0.363. The histogram confirms this positive momentum with green bars extending upward, and the latest reading is 0.067.

Chainlink MACD Turns Bullish on July 17Source: TradingView.com
Chainlink MACD Turns Bullish on July 18. Source: TradingView.com

The MACD indicator tracks momentum by comparing two exponential moving averages—usually the 12-period and 26-period. A bullish crossover occurs when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, while a bearish crossover happens when it crosses below.

Right now, the blue MACD line has moved firmly above the orange signal line, confirming renewed buying strength. The increasing green histogram bars reinforce this trend, suggesting that bullish momentum is building.

This MACD setup aligns with Chainlink’s recent rising wedge breakout and elevated Relative Strength Index (RSI), adding more confirmation to the short-term upside thesis. If the MACD curve continues to widen, LINK may accelerate toward the projected $20.38 breakout target.

Tatevik Crypto Journalist CoinChapter

Tatevik Avetisyan

Tatev Avetisyan is a Markets Writer and Analyst at CoinChapter, covering cryptocurrency markets, policy, and regulation. With over seven years of experience in business and marketing development, she has spent the past two years specializing in digital assets and has authored more than 2,000 articles on crypto markets and regulatory developments. She contributes as a guest writer to leading industry publications and is a prominent Web3 advocate in Armenia through Web3Armenia. Her work reflects a broader focus on artificial intelligence and Web3 technologies. Tatev maintains a diversified crypto portfolio, with Bitcoin as her primary holding above CoinChapter’s $1,000 disclosure threshold.