Dubai regulators introduced new rules that integrate Hedera into judicial services. The update authorizes AI-powered mediation and notarization processes to run on Hedera’s blockchain. This move embeds the network into the city’s legal infrastructure, signaling deeper adoption beyond finance.
At the same time, discussions around Hedera’s potential role at Sibos 2025 and possible integration with SWIFT have fueled anticipation. These developments highlight Hedera’s push into institutional systems where global financial infrastructure meets blockchain technology.
Institutional Activity Shows Strength
On-chain data indicates institutions continue to accumulate HBAR. Year-over-year holdings rose 91.6 %, and recent trading sessions recorded an 86 % increase in volume above average. These patterns suggest stronger participation from large investors who use Hedera’s network for enterprise solutions.
Meanwhile, Hedera’s utility is validated by rising transaction counts and increased network activity. Analysts point to this adoption as evidence that institutions are not only buying but also using Hedera in practical applications.
Sentiment and Market Dynamics
Despite institutional momentum, retail sentiment is softening. Social dominance for HBAR fell 55 % in the past month, showing declining online discussions. In addition, the Smart Money Index, a gauge of institutional conviction, has turned lower, reflecting reduced enthusiasm from professional traders.
Analysts also warn that technical signals remain fragile. If broken support levels are not recovered, Hedera could face further challenges in sustaining network growth momentum.
HBAR Forms Falling Wedge With 115% Upside Potential
On September 4, 2025, HBAR/USD 4-hour chart shows the creation of a falling wedge pattern. A falling wedge is a bullish reversal formation that appears when price action moves lower between two converging downward-sloping trendlines. It usually indicates selling pressure is weakening and buyers may soon regain control.
The chart highlights that HBAR has been trading within this wedge since mid-July, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. The price now hovers near the wedge’s lower boundary at around $0.214, close to the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $0.224. Volume also shows a gradual decline during the formation, a typical sign that consolidation is maturing before a breakout attempt.
If this falling wedge confirms with a breakout above the upper trendline, the measured move suggests a sharp rebound. Based on the wedge’s depth, HBAR could climb nearly 115% from current levels. This projection points toward a potential target close to $0.46, marking a major rally from its present $0.214 zone. Such a breakout would also carry HBAR back above key resistance levels near $0.30 and align it with renewed bullish momentum.
HBAR RSI Indicates Neutral but Improving Momentum
On September 4, 2025, the HBAR/USD 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) chart shows momentum building after a period of weakness. The RSI is currently at 40.41, with the signal line at 43.19. This reading places HBAR just below the neutral zone of 50, suggesting the asset is neither strongly oversold nor overbought.
Throughout July and August, the RSI fluctuated between 35 and 70, indicating alternating momentum swings without reaching extreme overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30) conditions. However, repeated rebounds from the 35–38 region show that buyers have consistently defended against deeper downside pressure.
The recent cross of the RSI line above its moving average hints at a possible shift in momentum. If the RSI continues to climb toward 50, it may confirm strengthening buying pressure, aligning with the falling wedge breakout setup seen on the price chart. This convergence of indicators could point to a significant rally if buyers sustain control.
HBAR MACD Signals Gradual Recovery
On September 4, 2025, the HBAR/USD 4-hour MACD chart shows signs of momentum shifting back in favor of buyers. The MACD line currently sits at –0.00217, slightly above the signal line at –0.00235, while the histogram prints a small positive value at 0.00018. This crossover is an early bullish signal, suggesting selling pressure may be easing.
Throughout July and August, the MACD reflected sharp momentum swings. Large negative bars in late July and mid-August showed strong bearish phases, while brief rallies above the zero line signaled temporary recoveries. The most recent move, however, marks the first clean positive histogram print in several sessions, indicating the potential start of a recovery wave.
If the MACD line continues to climb and sustains above the signal line, it will confirm a stronger momentum shift. Combined with the falling wedge breakout setup visible on the price chart and RSI’s approach toward neutral levels, this MACD signal strengthens the case for a possible upward rally.
HBAR Balance of Power Shows Buyer Control
On September 4, 2025, the HBAR/USD 4-hour Balance of Power (BOP) chart recorded a positive reading at 0.45, showing that buyers currently hold an advantage. The BOP measures the strength of market participants by comparing buying and selling pressure within each candle. A value above zero signals bullish dominance, while a value below zero reflects stronger selling momentum.
Over the past two months, the BOP has oscillated sharply between positive and negative levels, highlighting volatile shifts in control between bulls and bears. However, recent stabilization above the midline indicates that buyers are regaining ground after a prolonged consolidation period. This shift aligns with other technical indicators such as the MACD turning positive and RSI approaching neutral, all of which point to improving sentiment.
If the BOP continues to sustain above the zero line, it may reinforce the probability of a falling wedge breakout seen on the price chart. With consistent buying pressure confirmed, HBAR could see momentum build toward higher resistance levels, potentially fueling a broader recovery phase.
