Ripple’s Air China Deal and SWIFT Forecast Could Help XRP Confirm Bullish Pattern

Anshuman Roy
By Anshuman Roy 5 Min Read

XRP Ledger’s XRP token price has formed a bullish technical pattern that could help the token rally over 26%. Moreover, XRP, in association with Ripple, landed in the spotlight after the project became associated with some key developments. Specifically, Air China has partnered with Webus International to explore XRP payments for its 60 million-member PhoenixMiles program.

Additionally, social media chatter has started hyping up Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse’s June statement that projected XRP could capture 14% of SWIFT’s liquidity flows within five years. Moreover, the Ripple CEO’s 2024 statement about an XRP ETF coming in 2025 could attract buyers in Q4 2025.

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Ripple’s Air China Partnership Sparks Community Excitement

Air China’s loyalty partner has moved XRP from theory to a real test case. Webus International has signed a strategic deal that has given access to PhoenixMiles’ roster of 60 million members. The company has outlined plans to add XRP payments to overseas services such as airport transfers and chauffeur bookings. It has framed the move as subject to business progress and regulatory clearance. The deal does not cover mainland China.

Ripple XRP XRPL price analysis
Market participants welcomed the XRP Air China partnership.

XRP fan accounts on X have treated the news as a breakthrough. One post has called the partner tie-up “massive” for XRP and has said that future payment rails would reach travel services. Another post has told followers that XRP has been accepted for transfers and rentals via the Air China partner. Those reactions have captured genuine excitement in the market. They have also blurred the difference between a signed agreement and a full launch. Webus has described XRP support as a plan rather than a completed rollout.

Other posts have specifically noted that China’s crypto ban keeps any XRP use outside the mainland for now. Webus materials have stressed future enablement on its Wetour platform, but not immediate ticketing or loyalty redemptions. The message has been clear: adoption would proceed corridor by corridor and only after approvals.

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Amid the travel headlines, older remarks from Ripple’s chief have resurfaced. Brad Garlinghouse said in June that XRP could capture 14% of SWIFT’s liquidity within five years. The comment has returned to feeds as users have weighed long-range ambition against near-term execution. The previous projection has remained a talking point.

Technical Structure Points to a Breakout Setup

XRP is currently trading within a falling wedge formation that is showing signs of exhaustion on the downside. The wedge pattern, often identified as a bullish reversal structure, is developing as price carves lower highs and lower lows inside converging trendlines. Market participants consider the pattern a signal of weakening bearish momentum.

Ripple XRP XRPL price analysis
XRPUSD daily price chart with RSI. Source: TradingView

The narrowing structure suggests that sellers were losing strength while buyers have accumulated for a potential breakout.

A falling wedge historically resolves higher when volume confirms the move. In XRP’s case, the breakout projection calculation took the maximum height of the wedge at its widest point and applied that distance from the breakout level. According to theoretical calculations, the XRP USD pair price could reach $3.67 once it breaks out of the pattern.

Resistance levels on the weekly chart have provided clear checkpoints for any upward move. Immediate resistance has rested near $3.11, marked at the 0.618 retracement. Flipping that level positioned the next resistance near $3.35. A sustained rally would bring attention to the stronger barrier near $3.67. Each level has represented a potential hurdle for momentum and a point where traders have reassessed conviction.

Conversely, a downside movement would initiate a test of the pattern’s support trendline near $2.75. Failure of the immediate support would break XRP price out of the pattern, with the next support level near $2.52 coming into play.

The pattern, combined with defined resistance zones, has focused on whether XRP price could sustain higher closes. The technical structure has suggested that a validated breakout could set the tone for its next major directional leg. Moreover, Ripple’s latest updates could help provide the XRPL token’s price the required boost to break out of the pattern.

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Anshuman Roy

Anshuman Roy is a Senior Crypto Markets Analyst with over 1,500 published articles across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader digital asset space. With a background in Electronics and Telecommunication Engineering and an NISM-certified foundation in technical analysis, he brings a sharp focus to price structure, market cycles, and institutional flows. His reporting covers Bitcoin ETFs, Ethereum’s scaling roadmap, and token treasury strategies. Roy holds Bitcoin, Ethereum, Shiba Inu, and Litecoin.