Shiba Inu (SHIB) Tests 50 EMA Wall — 82% Burn Collapse Puts Rally at Risk

Divyanshi Seth
By Divyanshi Seth 4 Min Read

Shiba Inu (SHIB) traded around $0.00001176 on July 7, gaining about 2.6% in 24 hours and 2.3% for the week. Despite the short-term bounce, a steep drop in burn rate and visible resistance near its 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) may limit further upside.

Stiff Resistance Caps Price Despite Volume Spike

SHIB’s 4-hour chart shows price testing the 50 EMA near $0.00001176–$0.00001198. This zone has blocked upside moves several times in recent weeks. A clear break could open a path to the next resistance near $0.00001220.

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SHIB/USD 4-hour Price Chart. Source: TradingView
SHIB/USD 4-hour Price Chart. Source: TradingView

If SHIB price fails to break higher, support sits around $0.00001158. A deeper move could push price back toward $0.00001132 or even $0.00001032 if buyers step back.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour timeframe stays near neutral around 50, showing no strong bias either way.

SHIB’s 24-hour trading volume rose over 101% to about $132 million. Its volume-to-market-cap ratio stands near 1.9%, a moderate level for meme tokens.

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However, Shibburn data shows the daily burn dropped -82.27% to just 1.56 million tokens — far below its recent daily average of 9–10 million SHIB. To date, about 410 trillion SHIB has been burned, but supply remains heavy at about 584 trillion circulating and 589 trillion total.

SHIB Burn Rate
Source: Shibburn

 

A weak burn rate slows the pace of supply cuts, which stays central to SHIB’s scarcity story.

Open Interest data from CoinGlass shows SHIB’s perpetual futures OI remains near 294 billion SHIB as of early July. This shows leveraged traders are active. But the funding rate on major exchanges flipped slightly negative at times this week, meaning short positions pay longs to keep their bets open. This hints at some traders hedging downside while price struggles under resistance.

Shiba Inu On-Chain Supply Drops While Holder Base Expands

While daily burns shrink, on-chain data shows supply is still moving away from exchanges. CryptoQuant’s reserves chart shows SHIB reserves dropped from over 190 trillion tokens in 2022 to about 84 trillion now. Fewer tokens on exchanges can mean less instant sell pressure but also means more supply in cold wallets or staking — not permanently locked.

SHIBA INU Exchange Reserve - All Exchanges
Source: CryptoQuant

At the same time, Santiment data shows SHIB’s total holder count keeps growing, now near 1.52 million addresses, up from about 1.35 million late last year.

Even with more wallets and lower reserves, whales still command large supply blocks. Etherscan shows the top 100 wallets hold about 75.43% of all SHIB, including the “Null” burn address. Excluding that, top wallets like Robinhood and large private addresses each control between 3% and 5% individually. Big moves from these can affect short-term price swings.

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SHIB token holder
Source: Etherscan

Bitcoin (BTC) traded near $108,818, up about 1% for the week. Other meme coins like Dogecoin (DOGE) gained 4.5% weekly, while Bonk (BONK) jumped nearly 48%. SHIB’s smaller weekly gain leaves it trailing some peers for now.

Divyanshi Crypto Journalist CoinChapter

Divyanshi Seth

Divyanshi Seth is a Crypto News Journalist at CoinChapter with a master’s degree in Journalism and Mass Communication. When the 2021 crypto rally made global headlines, her curiosity led her to research blockchain technology and digital assets. That interest evolved into a career, with a focus on BTC, XRP, ADA, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu. Over the past 3 years, she has authored more than 1,000 articles, focusing primarily on ADA, Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, XRP, and Bitcoin. Divyanshi holds Bitcoin and Solana.