XRP fell 2.5% on July 30, 2025, as regulatory developments and market-wide pressure weighed on its price. The decline came alongside broader weakness in crypto markets but was more pronounced for XRP due to its exclusion from the latest U.S. policy report on digital assets.
The White House released its crypto policy framework on July 30, focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. XRP was notably absent from the report despite its large market cap and ongoing adoption in cross-border payment systems. Investors had anticipated some acknowledgment of XRP, particularly after the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve had previously included it in a limited reference earlier this year. Its omission disappointed traders who viewed potential government backing as a key driver for future gains.
Market sentiment also cooled ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision. While expectations remain for rates to hold steady, investors shifted to a cautious stance. The lack of any mention of XRP in the policy update compounded this caution, leading to reduced buying interest.
XRP’s price traded in a narrow range as traders awaited clearer signals from both regulators and ongoing bank trials using Ripple’s technology. The continued absence of policy recognition, paired with macroeconomic uncertainty, pushed XRP lower and underscored its reliance on regulatory clarity to drive momentum.
XRP Price Analysis: Falling Wedge Suggests Potential Upside
The XRP/USD chart, created on July 31, 2025, shows XRP trading at $3.15 against the United States Dollar on a four-hour timeframe. The price action has formed a falling wedge pattern, characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines following a strong upward movement. A falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern that indicates weakening selling pressure and often precedes an upward breakout.
If this pattern confirms, XRP could see a 42 percent increase from its current price, targeting approximately $4.49. The price is consolidating within the wedge, gradually approaching the breakout point near the upper trendline. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently at $3.17, is acting as resistance. A breakout above this EMA would further validate the bullish setup and reinforce the likelihood of upward momentum.
Trading volume shows moderate activity, which typically contracts during the wedge formation and expands upon breakout. This aligns with historical behavior of such patterns, where volume confirmation strengthens breakout signals. As XRP nears the wedge’s apex, a decisive move above the resistance trendline would trigger technical buying pressure and potentially accelerate price movement toward the projected target.
The analysis indicates that if bullish confirmation occurs, XRP’s price trajectory could shift upward significantly, aligning with the 42 percent measured move calculation derived from the wedge’s height. This suggests a potential rally toward $4.49 in the coming sessions if market conditions support the breakout.
XRP Relative Strength Index Analysis
The chart, created on July 31, 2025, shows XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a 14-period setting, currently at 49.81, alongside its signal line at 43.70. The RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price movements to identify overbought or oversold conditions. An RSI reading near 50 indicates neutral momentum, suggesting neither significant buying nor selling pressure dominates the market at this stage.
The RSI has recently recovered from a dip below the 30 level, which typically signals oversold conditions and potential for upward reversal. Its current rise toward the midpoint reflects improving momentum, aligning with price consolidation seen on the main chart. The crossover where the RSI line moves above the signal line further strengthens the bullish case, as this shift often precedes price advances.
If the RSI continues climbing toward the 70 threshold, it would indicate strengthening buying momentum and potentially confirm the breakout forecast from the falling wedge pattern. However, sustaining above 50 is crucial to maintain upward momentum and avoid returning to a range that favors sellers. The RSI’s stabilization in this region suggests XRP is building the foundation for a move higher, supporting a potential rally toward its projected $4.49 target if volume and price action confirm.
