XRP (XRP) is gearing up for what technical analysts are calling a “mega-breakout” after forming a classic cup-and-handle pattern. Meanwhile, it may just get the macro catalyst it’s been waiting for: the imminent end of the United States Department of the Treasury’s shutdown, which could unleash locked-up liquidity.
$XRP mega breakout incoming pic.twitter.com/M4jpLNqgRA
— Mikybull 🐂Crypto (@MikybullCrypto) November 11, 2025
Cup-and-handle Pattern Hints at 100% XRP Rally
Across its 3-day and weekly charts, XRP has carved out a textbook cup and handle: a rounded base (the “cup”) followed by a smaller consolidation (the “handle”) that’s been forming under key resistance in recent weeks.
The token must break above the resistance around the $3.30–$3.40 zone to validate the breakout setup. If it occurs during a rising volume, the XRP price may head toward the measured-move targets cluster in the $4 to $5+ region (or even higher), resulting in a more than 100% increase from current levels by the close of 2025.
The pattern suggests accumulation is occurring and that a powerful upward leg may be imminent.
US Government’s Shutdown is Ending: And It May Prove Bullish For Risk Assets
XRP’s bullish technical backdrop has become more favourable: The US government shutdown has forced the Treasury’s General Account (TGA) to swell, effectively draining liquidity from the broader financial system.
US liquidity is tight as the TGA swells to $965 billion, RRP rises, and bank reserves fall toward the “ample” lower range, driving up SRF usage. But relief is near: post–month-end RRP drawdown, shutdown resolution, and QT’s Dec. 1 end should flip liquidity into a tailwind, fueling XRP’s next leg higher alongside the broader crypto market.
For simpletons, during the shutdown, fewer federal outflows meant the TGA balance ballooned and bank reserves dipped, tightening financial conditions. When operations resume, deferred payments and contract disbursements will be processed, boosting bank reserves and releasing cash into risk markets.
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For XRP and the broader crypto market, this appears as a significant tailwind: more macro money, combined with a bullish chart pattern, equals a favorable setup.
Record Exchange Outflows Signal Strong XRP Accumulation
On-chain data from Glassnode shows XRP has logged its largest monthly exchange outflows on record, suggesting that investors are moving coins from trading platforms to self-custody, a classic sign of accumulation. Historically, such steep outflow spikes have aligned with major price reversals, often marking the end of distribution phases.
The data indicates that more than 1.4 billion XRP have been withdrawn from centralized exchanges since early October, on two separate occasions, surpassing even the massive withdrawals seen before XRP’s 2024 breakout. This means supply on exchanges is tightening, reducing potential sell pressure just as technical charts hint at a bullish breakout setup.
If these accumulation trends continue, the combination of dwindling exchange reserves and improving macro liquidity—once the US shutdown ends—could create a powerful tailwind for XRP’s price, reinforcing the cup-and-handle breakout narrative targeting the $4.80–$5.00 range.
