The XRP Ledger (XRP) token’s price reached near $3.07 as the market started a new week on Sept. 15. The token painted a minuscule daily candle, highlighting the struggle between the bulls and the bears. Meanwhile, whale activity seems to be shaping the market as large holders sold millions of XRP across exchanges, per a post by market analyst Ali.
Data showed over 160 million tokens leaving whale wallets in two weeks, signaling selective profit-taking. Despite the selling, buyers defended support near the $3 mark and looked ahead to upcoming catalysts. ETF anticipation and broader optimism helped offset bearish flows, keeping sentiment tilted toward another breakout. The split between whale caution and trader confidence defined XRP’s position midway through the month.
XRP Whale Moves Shape Market Dynamics
Meanwhile, whale movement data could be forecasting warning signals for the Ripple-linked token. Whale positioning might become one of the clearest drivers of XRP’s market tone in Sept. 2025. Large holders began reshuffling aggressively after XRP price touched the $3.15 zone.
Analyst Ali Martinez shared Santiment data showing whales with one to ten million XRP reducing their holdings by about 160 million tokens in just two weeks. Total balances fell from nearly 6.95 billion to around 6.79 billion, underlining measured distribution into strength. The reduction was not a panic exit but a sign that some whales chose to trim exposure while price tested higher levels.
At the same time, CryptoQuant exchange data highlighted that inflows were dominated by wallets holding at least one million XRP. Those deposits to Binance shaped the exchange supply curve in September, confirming that large players, not retail, controlled the flow of tokens.
Yet price resilience after these inflows suggested that not every transfer translated into active selling. Some deposits may have been repositioned across venues rather than immediately liquidated, leaving buyers room to defend the market.
The combination painted a market split between heavy hands and determined traders. It appears that whales sold into the rally and reshuffled supply, while broader sentiment held steady on expectations of new catalysts. Additionally, retail activity remained muted, with sub-100,000 XRP inflows almost absent from Binance data.
The absence reinforced the notion that September belonged to whales. Their decisions framed the structure, even as optimism on future developments kept traders committed to the bullish case.
Traders’ Predictions Range From Bullish to Outright Ridiculous
The tension between whale caution and trader optimism extended into how market participants framed XRP’s chart.
Independent analyst Flash highlighted a falling wedge structure on the daily timeframe, pointing to continuation after a summer consolidation. His analysis implied room for a measured breakout toward the $5 mark if buyers sustained momentum. The idea matched the broader view that price had respected long-term support while absorbing heavy whale activity.
On the shorter horizon, Christiantrading13 mapped the XRP USD pair inside an ascending channel on the four-hour chart. Price bounced near the $2.95 to $3.00 range, where the SMA200 aligned with trendline support. He identified $3.10 as the first resistance test and $3.30 to $3.38 as the more substantial barrier. If demand returned, RSI readings cooled from overbought levels, leaving space for upside momentum. TChristiantrading13’s framing focused on gradual levels rather than extreme targets.
Notably, retail narratives leaned further ahead. A clip from the Paul Barron Show featured Jake Claver projecting $10 to $13 XRP with ETF approvals, and even $20 to $25 by year-end. Moreover, a YouTube post by analyst CryptoAI Man pushed the same theme more urgently, predicting an imminent “explosion” within days tied to the Fed and ETF launch. These forecasts amplified community enthusiasm but diverged from technical setups and whale behavior. The charts pointed to steady ranges, while whales sold selectively. The hype, in contrast, painted an immediate rally that data did not yet confirm.
