Holochain triangle setup forecasts 90% fall for HOT prices

Anshuman Roy
By Anshuman Roy 3 Min Read
Holo prices might drop 90% from current levels if HOT confirms a bearish pattern.
Holo prices might drop 90% from current levels as HOT confirms a bearish pattern. Image from freepik and cryptologos

NEW DELHI (CoinChapter.com) — Holochain (HOT) prices broke below a bearish technical pattern called descending triangle pattern.

In detail, a descending trendline connecting swing highs and a horizontal trendline joining swing lows form the pattern. The height of the triangle’s thickest section determines the price target in a descending triangle setup.

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Holo prices risk a 90% fall after breaking out of a descending triangle pattern.
Holo prices risk a 90% fall after breaking out of a descending triangle pattern. Source: Tradingview.com

The pattern gives HOT prices a breakdown target nearly 90% below its current price levels at $0.00214 to reach near $0.00022.

Also Read: Holochain rally loses steam after HOT jumps 28% in four days.

However, the altcoin’s prices have been moving laterally since the breakout, with the volume declining. Hence, it might be possible Holo prices might return inside the pattern, indicating a fakeout.

HOT’s RSI Charting Bullish Divergence

HOT prices jumped more than 10% on Jul 7 between intraday low ($0.0021) and high ($0.0023). Moreover, Holo has been trading below a descending trendline resistance since May 5 this year.

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Holo’s relative strength index is currently neutral, with a value of 46.23 on the daily charts. The RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to analyze overbought or oversold conditions. Moreover, RSI has formed a bullish divergence with its price action.

In detail, a bullish divergence occurs when the RSI becomes oversold followed by a higher low, while the cryptocurrency’s prices form lower lows. It indicates rising bullish momentum.

HOTUSDT daily chart with RSI.
HOTUSDT daily chart with RSI. Source: Tradingview.com

However, HOT prices would need to move above their 20-day exponential moving average (20-day EMA, red wave) to challenge resistance near $0.0023, which has rebuffed HOT price action since Jun 26.

Also Read: Uniswap (UNI) valuation could swell by nearly 110% — here’s why.

A move above the 20-day EMA would see Holochain prices cross above the multi-week descending trendline resistance, providing Holo prices the impetus to target resistance from their 50-day EMA (purple wave) near $0.0025.

On the hand, if HOT prices fail to register an uptrend, the token would likely fall to support near $0.00203, which has supported Holo price action since Jun 21. A breach below immediate support could result in HOT prices testing support near $0.00183.

At writing, HOT was trading at $0.00214, up 2.1% on the day.

Anshuman Roy

Anshuman Roy is a Senior Crypto Markets Analyst with over 1,500 published articles across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the broader digital asset space. With a background in Electronics and Telecommunication Engineering and an NISM-certified foundation in technical analysis, he brings a sharp focus to price structure, market cycles, and institutional flows. His reporting covers Bitcoin ETFs, Ethereum’s scaling roadmap, and token treasury strategies. Roy holds Bitcoin, Ethereum, Shiba Inu, and Litecoin.

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