Dogecoin (DOGE) may appear stagnant to many traders, but technical analysts are highlighting a familiar fractal pattern that has historically preceded major rallies, suggesting the current consolidation could set the stage for a future move.
According to an analyst Cryptollica, DOGE’s broader price structure resembles a historical four-point fractal that has marked accumulation phases prior to significant upside runs. The pattern places DOGE at what the analyst described as “Point 4,” a phase comparable to earlier consolidation zones that preceded bullish moves in previous cycles.
At the time of writing, Dogecoin was trading near $0.12, holding within a prolonged range after recent market volatility.
Fractal Pattern Mirrors DOGE’s Past Accumulation Phases
The analysis highlights the formation of a rounded bottom, a technical structure that appears when price action spends extended periods in low-volatility ranges before trending higher. Cryptollica noted that earlier stages of this pattern — referred to as Zone 1 and Zone 2 — represented long stretches of market inactivity and accumulation. In the 2021 cycle, the analyst said, similar behavior in Zone 2 acted as a platform for Dogecoin’s later rally.
In the current setup, Zone 4 shows price stabilizing again into a rounded base, suggesting accumulation could be taking place. The fractal theory posits that price action often repeats structurally similar patterns across market cycles, and proponents argue this historical resemblance may offer insight into future behavior.
Complementing the fractal view, Cryptollica pointed to Dogecoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), which recently returned to a baseline near the 32 level on the oscillator. According to the chart shared, similar RSI behavior — where the indicator approached this level — has corresponded with macro bottoms at earlier fractal points.
Analysts who focus on momentum indicators argue that prolonged periods near key RSI support zones can reflect fading selling pressure, potentially opening the door for renewed buying interest. However, they emphasize that such readings are not timing tools and do not guarantee immediate trend reversals.
$0.138 Cited as Key Threshold for Recovery
In a separate technical update, crypto analyst Kevin identified $0.138 as a critical level for Dogecoin on multi-day and weekly charts. According to his view, reclaiming that level would place DOGE back above both the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and its 200-week simple moving average, thresholds commonly watched by chart analysts as markers of structural strength.
Kevin noted that a sustained move above $0.138 would likely coincide with broader market strength, particularly if Bitcoin is able to reclaim the $88,000–$91,000 zone. Bitcoin’s ability to stabilize and resume an uptrend is often seen as a catalyst for risk assets, including major altcoins.
Until those technical conditions are met, Dogecoin remains within what analysts describe as a long-term dollar-cost-averaging zone. This range shows a period of consolidation where price churns without a clear directional breakout, often awaiting a macro trigger such as shifts in Bitcoin’s trend or broader risk sentiment.
