BTC, ADA, ONDO: Bitcoin Holds Above $94K as Cardano Drops and Unlock Looms

Moses Kimathi
By Moses Kimathi 5 Min Read

NAIROBI (CoinChapter.com)—Bitcoin (BTC), Cardano (ADA), and Ondo Finance (ONDO) are navigating critical price levels as the broader crypto market faces increasing volatility. With traders anticipating the release of U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, these assets reflect the market’s cautious stance amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

Bitcoin Defends $94K, Faces Critical Macro Test

Bitcoin’s price held steady above $94,000 on Jan. 14, recovering from an earlier plunge below $90,600. Bullish traders stepped up with $1.04 billion in long positions against $568 million in shorts, data from Coinglass shows. This defensive maneuver highlights efforts to maintain key support ahead of the Jan. 15 U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, a critical macroeconomic event.

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Bitcoin targets $100K amid rising bullish momentum. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin targets $100K amid rising bullish momentum. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin recently rebounded from the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $90,900, which aligns with the lower boundary of a parallel ascending channel visible on the daily chart. This zone marks a vital accumulation area that traders continue to defend.

However, Keith Alan, co-founder of Material Indicators, pointed to $86,000 and $76,000 as essential support levels, coinciding with the 100-day moving average.

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Peter Brandt
BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Peter Brandt

Meanwhile, veteran trader Peter Brandt flagged a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern that could drag prices to $69,000.

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BTC’s RSI hovers at 47, signaling neutrality, while the MACD line remains below the signal line, suggesting persistent bearish pressure. A sustained recovery above $96,000 could pave the way for a retest of the 0.618 Fibonacci level near $101,000.

Bitcoin’s trajectory now hinges on the CPI data release, which could define market sentiment in the near term.

Cardano Battles Profit-Taking Near $0.90 Support

Cardano (ADA) faced a sharp 10% correction on Monday, sliding to $0.91 from an opening price of $0.99. The sell-off follows a 17.8% rally last week, as traders locked in profits amid broader market uncertainty. Open interest in ADA derivatives remained steady at $1.16 billion, signaling continued speculative activity despite the downturn.

Cardano holds key support, targets $1.25. Source: TradingView
Cardano holds key support, targets $1.25. Source: TradingView

The $0.90 level stands as a key support for ADA, backed by the ascending trendline on the daily chart. The RSI at 49.85 indicates neutral momentum, while the Chaikin Oscillator at 51.98 reflects a balance between buyers and sellers.

The MACD line on lower time frames shows narrowing divergence, hinting at a potential bullish crossover. This supports expectations of a rebound if ADA sustains its position above the $0.90 support.

Rising inflation fears, fueled by strong U.S. jobs data, weigh on ADA’s short-term outlook. Still, hopes for crypto-friendly tax reforms keep long-term traders interested.

For ADA to regain its bullish momentum, it must clear immediate resistance near $0.97, with the next key level at $1.24.

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Ondo Finance Faces Volatility Ahead of Token Unlock

Ondo Finance’s ONDO token traded at $1.17 on Jan. 14, losing 4% in a day and 15% this month. The Jan. 18 unlock of 1.94 billion tokens, valued at $2.13 billion, poses risks of increased volatility. This release accounts for over 130% of ONDO’s circulating supply and dwarfs its daily trading volume.

ONDO eyes breakout from descending triangle. Source: TradingView
ONDO eyes breakout from descending triangle. Source: TradingView

The price is consolidating near $1.10 support, forming a descending triangle—a bearish indicator. Key resistance lies at the $1.35 Fibonacci retracement level, while the RSI at 36.17 suggests oversold conditions, hinting at potential short-term relief.

Ondo Finance (ONDO) Daily Active Addresses chart. Source: Santiment
Ondo Finance (ONDO) Daily Active Addresses chart. Source: Santiment

On-chain data reveals daily active addresses dropped to 1,929 from 3,691 last month, reflecting reduced activity. A negative funding rate of -0.047% further highlights bearish sentiment as shorts dominate.

ONDO forms head-and-shoulders, eyes breakdown. Source: Ali Martinez
ONDO forms head-and-shoulders, eyes breakdown. Source: Ali Martinez

Analyst Ali Martinez predicts ONDO could recover to $1.49 by mid-Jan. if market conditions improve. However, past large token unlocks often lead to increased selling pressure, leaving ONDO’s outlook uncertain after the event.

BTC, ADA, and Ondo Finance face pivotal moments, with the upcoming CPI report and macroeconomic shifts set to influence their paths. BTC’s stability and Cardano’s speculative appeal show potential, while Ondo Finance’s token unlock highlights crypto market risks.

Moses Kimathi

Moses is an experienced freelance writer and analyst with a keen interest in how technology is disrupting the financial sector. He has written extensively on the subject of cryptocurrencies from an investment perspective, as well as from a technical standpoint. He has also been involved in trading cryptocurrencies for over two years.