YEREVAN (CoinChapter.com) – Bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrencies are safe today, thanks to digital encryption. However, quantum computing’s growth poses a serious threat to the safe blockchains of today.
According to a recent study by Deloitte, quantum computers can advance enough to break into Bitcoin’s encryption. As a result, “over 4 million BTC (about 25% of all Bitcoins) are potentially vulnerable to a quantum attack”. At today’s prices, that amounts to over $119 billion.
Moreover, according to the study, there are an equal number of vulnerable coins in reused ‘pay to public key hash’ (p2pkh) addresses, which are otherwise considered safe.
Other protected data, including bank accounts and emails, will also become vulnerable to hackers.
The distribution of Bitcoins that are stored in addresses that are vulnerable to quantum attacks. Credit: Deloitte
At the World Economic Forum in Davos in 2020, Sundar Pichai, the CEO of Google’s parent firm, Alphabet, sent out a worrying message.
“Quantum computing will defeat encryption as we know it today in a 5 to 10-year time period,”
How does quantum computing’s growth pose a threat to Bitcoin?
The security of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology lies in public-key cryptography. The technology is not unique to cryptos, however. Most online transactions and payment systems, including email address providers, rely on it.
Bitcoin network uses a cryptographic algorithm called SHA-256. The technology helps ensure that only an intended recipient can see a particular data or transaction by combining public and private keys.
However, quantum computing’s growth threatens this public-key cryptography. As a result, hackers can impersonate owners of digital assets like cryptocurrencies and nonfungible tokens (NFT).
This causes a big risk to the reputation of the Bitcoin (BTC) network.
“If [4 million] coins are eventually stolen in this way, then trust in the system will be lost and the value of Bitcoin will probably go to zero,”
While quantum computing’s growth is a reason to worry, there is no need to panic. The technology is too early, and blockchain will have ensured itself by the time it comes.
My one-sentence impression of recent quantum supremacy stuff so far is that it is to real quantum computing what hydrogen bombs are to nuclear fusion. Proof that a phenomenon and the capability to extract power from it exist, but still far from directed use toward useful things.
It usually takes about 10 minutes to mine 6.25 Bitcoins. According to Sussex University scientist Mark Webber, the cryptographic key of each transaction on the Bitcoin network is typically vulnerable for 10 minutes. However, during network congestions, it can stretch up to an hour.
As his team of researchers at the university claim, one would need a computer with a 1.9 billion qubit capacity to break Bitcoin’s encryption in the given period.
In context, IBM’s 127-Qubit Eagle is the largest quantum computer in use today. So it is safe to say that we are miles away from hacking the Bitcoin network’s cryptography.
The crypto community is already working on transitioning to a new type of cryptography called ‘post-quantum cryptography. For example, the team behind the Ethereum network has included quantum security in the plans for ETH 3.0.
The governance of Bitcoin is decentraliced. Everyone decides on their own which code to run on their node, that doesn't mean Bitcoin has no governance & is unable to adapt. It's absolutely capable to adapt and it will adapt to quantum computing resistance algorithms if necessary.
Cardano is also working on making its network resistant to quantum attacks. During an ask-me-anything (AMA) session on his YouTube channel in April, founder Charles Hoskinson confirmed its features in his five-year plan.
Suffice to say; people are not sitting with their hands folded, waiting for quantum computing to come and wreck us all. Yes, it is a potential threat and must be taken seriously.
Yerevan-based Editor and writer focusing on topics about cryptocurrencies, NFTs, politics, and international relations. Having completed his Bachelor's and Master's degrees from Delhi's Jawaharlal Nehru University, he currently works as a reporter at CoinChapter.
Contact: [email protected]
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