SUI Crypto Recovers 135% Post Grayscale Fund Launch—Is the Rally Sustainable?

Grayscale SUI fund launch
SUI Crypto Recovers 135% Post Grayscale Fund Launch—Is the Rally Sustainable?

NAIROBI (CoinChapter.com) — SUI, the native cryptocurrency of the SUI Layer-1 blockchain, has experienced a remarkable recovery, rising by 135% from its recent low. The rally began after the Grayscale SUI fund launch on Aug. 8, injecting fresh momentum into the market.

This move is widely seen as a strong endorsement of SUI’s long-term potential, leading to a surge in investor interest and trading activity.

Grayscale SUI fund launch
SUI OI-Weighted Funding Rate. Source: Coinglass

The Grayscale SUI fund launch had a swift and powerful effect on the market. By Aug. 13, SUI’s price had risen to $1.01, and Open Interest had jumped to $256.39 million—a 296.49% increase from $56.95 million on Aug. 7. This surge in Open Interest, along with a 125.23% increase in trading volume to $3.08 billion, indicates that traders are increasingly confident in SUI’s continued price growth.

SUI Price Action and On-Chain Metrics Indicate Further Upside Potential

Key on-chain metrics further support the bullish momentum surrounding SUI. Alongside the surge in Open Interest, SUI recorded a net inflow of $7.71 million on Aug. 12, suggesting strong investor accumulation. This positive netflow indicates that more capital is entering SUI than leaving, reinforcing the asset’s upward trajectory.

Grayscale SUI fund launch
SUI spot inflow/outflow and price chart. Source: Coinglass

Moreover, the Open Interest-weighted funding rate has remained relatively stable, suggesting that long positions are not being excessively over-leveraged, which could help sustain the current bullish trend.

Grayscale SUI fund launch
SUI price and OI-weighted funding rate chart. Source: Coinglass

The SUI price action has been particularly notable compared to Bittensor (TAO), another asset included in Grayscale’s new trusts. While TAO experienced a temporary rally before retracing, SUI has continued its upward trajectory, with gains exceeding 108% within six days.

SUI Grayscale SUI fund launch
SUI’s long/short ratio chart. Source: Coinglass

Supporting these bullish sentiments, SUI’s long/short ratio has become increasingly balanced, with 49.67% of market participants holding long positions and 50.33% shorting the asset. This equilibrium suggests a highly contested price level, where any further gains could trigger a squeeze, pushing prices higher.

SUI Could Hit $1.70 if Key Resistance Breaks, Analysts Predict

As of Aug. 13, 2024, SUI is trading at around $0.9795, up 3.60% in the past 24 hours. The market cap stands at $2.54 billion, with a 24-hour trading volume of $739.05 million (up 75.33%). The price is nearing the critical $1.00 level, with potential resistance at $1.10 and $1.20, while support lies at $0.85 and $0.70.

SUI Grayscale SUI fund launch
SUI/USD 1-day price chart. Source: TradingView

After finding support near $0.4868 in late July, SUI began its upward move, breaking through key resistance levels, including the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The price reached $1.0165 on Aug. 13, surpassing the upper Bollinger Band before pulling back to $0.9812.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) rose from oversold levels to 65, signaling growing bullish momentum. However, as the RSI nears overbought territory, SUI could face short-term resistance.

A close above $1.016 could pave the way for gains toward $1.1 and $1.2. Conversely, a break below the middle Bollinger Band, currently at $0.75, could see the price retesting the $0.487 support zone.

According to Raoul Pal, SUI must break its downtrend versus Solana (SOL) to establish itself as a credible long-term investment.

SUI Grayscale SUI fund launch
SUI/USDT price chart highlighting resistance at $1.14 and $1.70 targets. Source: CRYPTOWZRD

Meanwhile, prominent trader CRYPTOWZRD predicts that SUI could surge to $1.14 and potentially hit $1.70, provided it breaks through the current resistance.

SUI’s upcoming token unlock on Sept. 3 will release 83.88 million tokens or 0.84% of the total supply. This event could increase volatility, potentially driving the rally or triggering a pullback.

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