XRP Eyes 30% Breakout as ETF Filings and Fedwire Upgrade Align

Tatevik Avetisyan
By Tatevik Avetisyan 8 Min Read
XRP Eyes 30% Breakout as ETF Filings and Fedwire Upgrade Align

XRP ETFs are gaining traction as investors focus on assets with clear legal status and strong infrastructure. Regulatory clarity and the Federal Reserve’s ISO 20022 Fedwire upgrade are supporting this trend. ProShares and Teucrium have both filed for XRP-based exchange-traded funds, signaling long-term confidence despite ongoing regulatory reviews.

Unlike Ethereum and Solana ETFs, which still face classification issues, XRP benefits from a court ruling confirming it is not a security. This legal distinction increases XRP’s eligibility for approval under the Investment Company Act of 1940. As a result, institutional demand for compliant digital assets continues to grow.

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Fedwire Upgrade Aligns With XRP Ledger Capabilities

The Federal Reserve’s recent adoption of ISO 20022 messaging in its Fedwire system directly supports Ripple’s infrastructure. The XRP Ledger, built for real-time global payments, aligns with this standard. Unlike Ethereum and Solana, which focus on decentralized apps, XRP is optimized for high-speed, cross-border settlement.

This compatibility strengthens XRP’s appeal among banks and payment networks. As Fedwire rolls out upgrades, Ripple’s technology stands ready for wider institutional integration.

Major asset managers continue to file XRP ETF applications. ProShares  submitted an amendment under Rule 485(b)(1)(iii), indicating a potential mid-2025 launch. Teucrium’s leveraged XRP ETF (XXRP) also reported strong trading volumes, reflecting investor interest.

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These filings suggest institutions are preparing for eventual SEC approval. Despite ongoing regulatory scrutiny, the structure and legal clarity of XRP are helping it stand out from other crypto assets.

Price Movement Tied to ETF Optimism

XRP has surged above $3, driven by ETF-related optimism and the successful Fedwire integration. Analysts estimate a 95% chance of ETF approval by the end of 2025. This legal positioning, combined with growing investor interest, has increased XRP’s visibility in institutional portfolios.

The legal status and real-world payment use case of XRP offer an advantage over other cryptocurrencies. As financial regulations evolve, XRP remains one of the few assets clearly aligned with regulatory frameworks.

XRP Positioned for Institutional Adoption

The combination of regulatory clarity, Fedwire integration, and growing institutional filings has strengthened the case for XRP ETFs. While SEC approval is still pending, the current infrastructure and legal groundwork support XRP’s inclusion in regulated financial products.

With demand rising and filings progressing, XRP is well-positioned for broader adoption across traditional markets. Institutional investors are watching closely as XRP continues to move toward ETF approval and mainstream exposure.

XRP Price Forms Rising Channel Pattern, Signals Potential Breakout

On July 16, 2025, the XRP/US Dollar (XRP/USD) chart from TradingView shows that the token has formed a rising channel pattern. This setup is visible on the 1-hour chart and highlights consistent higher highs and higher lows, bound between two parallel red trendlines sloping upwards.

XRP Rising Channel Chart. Source: TradingView
XRP Rising Channel Chart. Source: TradingView

A rising channel pattern is a bullish continuation pattern. It shows that price moves within an upward-sloping channel. Traders watch this structure closely, as a breakout above the channel often signals a stronger upward move.

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Currently, XRP trades around $2.95, slightly above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) set at $2.90. If XRP confirms a breakout above the upper red resistance line of the channel, the price may surge. Based on the projected breakout target in the chart, XRP could rise by approximately 30%, aiming for a price near $3.83.

Volume activity also supports this move. A spike in green volume bars early on July 11 aligns with the previous sharp move upward. Since then, volume has remained steady, and price continues to respect the trendlines.

The chart shows a green arrow projecting a breakout scenario, with the target level marked by a blue horizontal line at $3.83. If XRP maintains current momentum and breaks above the channel with strong volume, the path toward that target becomes more likely.

The rising channel remains intact as long as the price continues making higher lows and respects the lower red trendline. If the price falls below that line, the pattern would be invalidated, and further analysis would be needed.

For now, XRP remains in a bullish structure, and the chart points to a possible breakout toward the $3.83 level, representing a potential 30% gain from current levels.

XRP Directional Movement Index Shows Weak but Rebuilding Trend Strength

This chart, created on July 16, 2025, shows the Directional Movement Index (DMI) for XRP/USD, based on a 14-period setting. The DMI includes three key lines:

  • +DI (blue): Positive directional index, currently at 21.33

  • –DI (orange): Negative directional index, currently at 18.46

  • ADX (red): Average Directional Index, currently at 18.12

The +DI remains above the –DI, which suggests that buyers still have a slight edge. However, the gap is narrow, indicating limited strength in bullish momentum. The ADX value, which tracks the trend’s strength regardless of direction, is below 20. This level shows that the current uptrend is weak or consolidating.

XRP DMI Indicator Chart. Source: TradingView
XRP DMI Indicator Chart. Source: TradingView

The ADX rose above 25 during the rally on July 10–11, but since then, it has fallen steadily. This confirms the market entered a consolidation phase after the sharp move. Recently, the ADX has started to level out and could rise again if momentum builds.

As long as the +DI stays above the –DI and the ADX begins to climb, XRP may regain trend strength. Combined with the earlier rising channel pattern, this DMI reading shows early signs of a trend recovery, though full confirmation will depend on further price movement and rising ADX values.

XRP RSI Chart Shows Strengthening Momentum Near Bullish Zone

This Relative Strength Index (RSI) chart for XRP/USD, created on July 16, 2025, uses a 14-period setting. The current RSI reading is 59.81, and the signal line (yellow) is at 53.20.

XRP RSI Indicator Chart. Source: TradingView
XRP RSI Indicator Chart. Source: TradingView

The RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Values above 70 usually indicate overbought conditions, while values below 30 suggest oversold conditions.

At 59.81, XRP remains in neutral-to-bullish territory, showing building strength but not yet overextended. The RSI has crossed above its signal line, a sign that upward momentum is increasing. This crossover is often viewed as an early bullish sign.

The RSI peaked near 75 on July 11, when XRP had a sharp price surge. Since then, it corrected and consolidated. Now, it’s once again approaching the 60 level, which often acts as a resistance zone. If RSI breaks past 60, it may signal a shift toward more aggressive buying pressure.

In context with the rising channel pattern and Directional Movement Index (DMI), the RSI chart confirms improving bullish momentum, though not yet at overheated levels.

Tatevik Crypto Journalist CoinChapter

Tatevik Avetisyan

Tatev Avetisyan is a Markets Writer and Analyst at CoinChapter, covering cryptocurrency markets, policy, and regulation. With over seven years of experience in business and marketing development, she has spent the past two years specializing in digital assets and has authored more than 2,000 articles on crypto markets and regulatory developments. She contributes as a guest writer to leading industry publications and is a prominent Web3 advocate in Armenia through Web3Armenia. Her work reflects a broader focus on artificial intelligence and Web3 technologies. Tatev maintains a diversified crypto portfolio, with Bitcoin as her primary holding above CoinChapter’s $1,000 disclosure threshold.